We will find out only on 16 May which political party or alliance will win the general election. One can not rule out the possibility of a surprise candidate emerging as India's next PM. But if Modi does become PM, the above question assumes significance as Modi is a strong man and he can be expected on major changes in all the major arenas to achieve, although foreign policy is a different ball game.
One should not expect tectonic shifts in the foreign policy of India, even as a strong man like Modi is PM. This despite the fact that Modi as PM inevitably the most powerful leader in the BJP will be unlike Manmohan Singh, whose decade-long stint as PM is widely recognized as being remotely controlled by Congress President Sonia Gandhi.
Lots of sound and fury can be expected on the Indo-Pak bilaterally Modi does become PM. In Bangladesh, a hardening of the Indian state can also be seen on the thorny issue of illegal migration of Bangladeshis in India. Modes can be expected to be ante with respect to the United States, and given his stated opposition to the way the Obama administration has dealt with India on the issue Devyani Khobragade.
Pakistan: One should expect a high-octane statements and speeches from the Indian and Pakistani top leadership. The India-Pakistan relationship has been previously known dormant in the past one year, first because of the general elections in Pakistan last year and then, because of the Indian elections. Message of May, can be expected to resume. Bilateral dialogue, the two governments Yet Modi as PM would probably be Pakistan engagement begins a tough nut. Pakistan is a country where he would not want to go through the advice of diplomats at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. He would push his own agenda and his party in dealing with Pakistan. Much would depend on Pakistan behaviors related to terrorism or give no major terrorist incident. April-May Indian general elections.
United States: This will be the most important foreign policy challenge for the new Indian government. Modi as PM wants to be carefully crafted image project to the West as a leader who believes in the future and inclusive growth. It will be interesting to see how he handles the Khobragade shadow over Indo-US relations and what instructions he gives to the income tax department in its ongoing probe into the financial affairs of the American diplomats and other personnel deployed in India. He will be aware of the State Department's attitude to him for the past 12 years more than the visa problem. Modi has no need for the court of the U.S. on the visa problem, because when Indian Prime Minister, the U.S. will have no choice but to have with him. The issuance of the visa will automatically become a non-issue when he becomes the PM.
China: Despite his strong views and statements on Arunachal Pradesh, China will gladly do business with Modi-led India. Modi is expected to back and work with the Chinese leaders. China is a country where he can be expected to fully follow the views of the Indian diplomatic establishment and is likely to make. Problem no significant change in the Indian attitude about the border dispute and the stapled visa
Russia: Indo-Russian bilateral relations are set for a major re-active, for any political party wins the next election and who will be India's next PM. This process can be expected to accelerate under his guidance modes. Russia is seeking economic cooperation with Asian countries in the wake of Western sanctions to tighten Russia over the Crimea developments. One can expect a major thrust to Indo-Russian bilateral trade and investment, particularly in the field of energy.
Neighbourhood: Modi will encourage like-round relations with all SAARC (minus Pakistan) and BIMSTEC countries. However, the neighboring countries like Myanmar, Nepal and Bhutan will include special attention. Sri Lanka Modi's policies will be affected by the post-poll scenario and factors such as how many seats the AIADMK wins in the Lok Sabha elections and the attitude of J Jayalalithaa to the BJP. About Bangladesh, Modi will do well to continue with the policy of the UPA government, although he is expected to take on the issue of illegal migrants. Clearly different approach
One should not expect tectonic shifts in the foreign policy of India, even as a strong man like Modi is PM. This despite the fact that Modi as PM inevitably the most powerful leader in the BJP will be unlike Manmohan Singh, whose decade-long stint as PM is widely recognized as being remotely controlled by Congress President Sonia Gandhi.
Lots of sound and fury can be expected on the Indo-Pak bilaterally Modi does become PM. In Bangladesh, a hardening of the Indian state can also be seen on the thorny issue of illegal migration of Bangladeshis in India. Modes can be expected to be ante with respect to the United States, and given his stated opposition to the way the Obama administration has dealt with India on the issue Devyani Khobragade.
Pakistan: One should expect a high-octane statements and speeches from the Indian and Pakistani top leadership. The India-Pakistan relationship has been previously known dormant in the past one year, first because of the general elections in Pakistan last year and then, because of the Indian elections. Message of May, can be expected to resume. Bilateral dialogue, the two governments Yet Modi as PM would probably be Pakistan engagement begins a tough nut. Pakistan is a country where he would not want to go through the advice of diplomats at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. He would push his own agenda and his party in dealing with Pakistan. Much would depend on Pakistan behaviors related to terrorism or give no major terrorist incident. April-May Indian general elections.
United States: This will be the most important foreign policy challenge for the new Indian government. Modi as PM wants to be carefully crafted image project to the West as a leader who believes in the future and inclusive growth. It will be interesting to see how he handles the Khobragade shadow over Indo-US relations and what instructions he gives to the income tax department in its ongoing probe into the financial affairs of the American diplomats and other personnel deployed in India. He will be aware of the State Department's attitude to him for the past 12 years more than the visa problem. Modi has no need for the court of the U.S. on the visa problem, because when Indian Prime Minister, the U.S. will have no choice but to have with him. The issuance of the visa will automatically become a non-issue when he becomes the PM.
China: Despite his strong views and statements on Arunachal Pradesh, China will gladly do business with Modi-led India. Modi is expected to back and work with the Chinese leaders. China is a country where he can be expected to fully follow the views of the Indian diplomatic establishment and is likely to make. Problem no significant change in the Indian attitude about the border dispute and the stapled visa
Russia: Indo-Russian bilateral relations are set for a major re-active, for any political party wins the next election and who will be India's next PM. This process can be expected to accelerate under his guidance modes. Russia is seeking economic cooperation with Asian countries in the wake of Western sanctions to tighten Russia over the Crimea developments. One can expect a major thrust to Indo-Russian bilateral trade and investment, particularly in the field of energy.
Neighbourhood: Modi will encourage like-round relations with all SAARC (minus Pakistan) and BIMSTEC countries. However, the neighboring countries like Myanmar, Nepal and Bhutan will include special attention. Sri Lanka Modi's policies will be affected by the post-poll scenario and factors such as how many seats the AIADMK wins in the Lok Sabha elections and the attitude of J Jayalalithaa to the BJP. About Bangladesh, Modi will do well to continue with the policy of the UPA government, although he is expected to take on the issue of illegal migrants. Clearly different approach
